Below you can find my current working papers. Many of these have been presented at conferences. As they are works-in-progress, all comments are welcome, so please feel free to reach out.
Working Papers
Long-Run Confidence: Estimating Uncertainty when using Long-Run Multipliers (with Dave Peterson)
Coercion and Cooperation: A Balancing Act Between Established and Revisionist Powers (with Isaac Barrash)
The Effects of Dog-Whistle Politics on Political Violence (with Olga Chyzh and Clay Webb)
A Watershed Moment: Climate Change and Election Outcomes
Modeling Structural Selection in Disaggregated Event Data (with Olga Chyzh and Doug Gibler)
State-controlled Media and Foreign Policy: Analyzing Russian-language News (with Elena Labzina)
Leaving the Party: Power Asymmetries and Membership Discontinuity within International Organizations (with Youngwan Kim)
Explaining Variation in Protester Commitment: Survey Evidence from Ukraine’s EuroMaidan, 2013–2014 (with Olga Chyzh)